Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.869887e-03 0.002068 0.002267 0.002483 0.002709 0.002939 0.003189
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.586469e-03 0.001874 0.002173 0.002505 0.002863 0.003234 0.003648
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.404726e-03 0.001764 0.002150 0.002589 0.003072 0.003582 0.004159
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.247499e-03 0.001665 0.002126 0.002663 0.003264 0.003910 0.004650
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.038234e-03 0.001488 0.002001 0.002613 0.003312 0.004074 0.004960
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.772130e-04 0.001352 0.001911 0.002593 0.003386 0.004264 0.005295
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.720580e-04 0.001274 0.001880 0.002636 0.003527 0.004525 0.005708
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.553820e-04 0.001169 0.001809 0.002625 0.003602 0.004708 0.006031
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.800737e-04 0.001110 0.001790 0.002671 0.003740 0.004962 0.006432
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.169759e-04 0.001061 0.001779 0.002724 0.003884 0.005220 0.006838
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.667294e-04 0.001025 0.001780 0.002790 0.004042 0.005493 0.007260
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.827887e-04 0.000931 0.001698 0.002746 0.004062 0.005603 0.007492
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.925595e-04 0.000828 0.001619 0.002729 0.004148 0.005828 0.007906
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.229050e-04 0.000748 0.001565 0.002743 0.004273 0.006105 0.008388
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.795103e-04 0.000704 0.001561 0.002824 0.004485 0.006490 0.009003
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.404404e-04 0.000660 0.001553 0.002896 0.004687 0.006865 0.009610
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.640033e-05 0.000564 0.001455 0.002841 0.004721 0.007034 0.009973
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.064888e-05 0.000491 0.001384 0.002818 0.004795 0.007250 0.010390
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.121852e-05 0.000450 0.001362 0.002861 0.004954 0.007571 0.010934
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.365812e-05 0.000392 0.001304 0.002849 0.005036 0.007795 0.011361
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.688099e-06 0.000361 0.001288 0.002896 0.005198 0.008119 0.011909
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.476293e-06 0.000334 0.001279 0.002951 0.005368 0.008453 0.012468
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.252054e-08 0.000313 0.001279 0.003019 0.005557 0.008809 0.013057